Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (43.0 per game) this year.
In this week's contest, Brandon Aiyuk is forecasted by the model to land in the 82nd percentile among wideouts with 7.4 targets.
After accruing 69.0 air yards per game last season, Brandon Aiyuk has seen a big uptick this season, now boasting 95.0 per game.
Brandon Aiyuk's 67.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 58.8.
Brandon Aiyuk's 83.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year illustrates a noteable growth in his receiving talent over last year's 63.0 mark.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 56.1% of their downs: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to call just 62.0 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
The 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the 49ers ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

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