Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
In this week's game, Brandon Aiyuk is expected by the projection model to place in the 81st percentile among wideouts with 7.3 targets.
After accruing 69.0 air yards per game last season, Brandon Aiyuk has seen marked improvement this season, currently sitting at 99.0 per game.
Brandon Aiyuk's 72.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 58.8.
Brandon Aiyuk's 87.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year represents a meaningful boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 63.0 mark.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this game, implying much more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.5 plays per game.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the San Francisco 49ers profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year.