Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to notch 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among WRs.
Brandon Aiyuk has totaled many more air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (54.0 per game).
Brandon Aiyuk's 53.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 43.1.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 9th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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