Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-104/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
Brandon Aiyuk has garnered a colossal 27.4% of his team's air yards this year: 81st percentile among WRs.
Brandon Aiyuk has notched quite a few more receiving yards per game (52.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
Brandon Aiyuk has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league, averaging a terrific 10.39 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 86th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 56.6 plays per game.
Brandon Aiyuk has been a more important option in his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 91.4% of snaps vs just 78.3% last year.

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