Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 3, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.
Brandon Aiyuk has been responsible for a monstrous 24.5% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile among wide receivers.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Brandon Aiyuk's talent in grinding out extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, totaling 13.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 4.20 rate last year.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed the most receiving yards per game in the league (156.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 57.0 plays per game.
Brandon Aiyuk has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, playing on 92.0% of snaps compared to just 92.0% last season.
Brandon Aiyuk's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 65.3% to 59.2%.

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