Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to total 7.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.
Brandon Aiyuk has accrued significantly more air yards this season (65.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).
Brandon Aiyuk's 55.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 42.9.
Brandon Aiyuk has posted quite a few more receiving yards per game (59.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.63 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in football.
The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.