Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to earn 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
Brandon Aiyuk has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).
Brandon Aiyuk's 55.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 42.9.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63%) versus WRs this year (63.0%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown strong efficiency against WRs this year, giving up 7.37 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the NFL.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.22 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the league.

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