Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 10th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to notch 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
Brandon Aiyuk has posted far more air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
Brandon Aiyuk's 54.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 44.8.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The 49ers have been the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, giving up 7.81 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the NFL.
The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season.

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