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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to notch 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
  • Brandon Aiyuk has posted far more air yards this season (68.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 54.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 44.8.
  • The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The 49ers have been the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.2% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, giving up 7.81 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the NFL.
  • The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season.

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