Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 22, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 7th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to garner 6.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
Brandon Aiyuk has totaled many more air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (54.0 per game).
Brandon Aiyuk's 53.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 43.1.

Favors Under

The 49ers are an enormous 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. wideouts this year, allowing 7.69 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the NFL.

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