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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brandon Aiyuk has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (63.0 per game) than he did last season (54.0 per game).

Brandon Aiyuk's 51.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 43.1.

The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Brandon Aiyuk has accrued quite a few more receiving yards per game (67.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).

Brandon Aiyuk's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 65.3% to 71.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.11 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.

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