Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Aiyuk has run a route on 88.2% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
Brandon Aiyuk has earned a whopping 22.8% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wide receivers.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Brandon Aiyuk has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the league, averaging a terrific 9.93 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 92nd percentile among WRs.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, allowing 8.57 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in football.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to call the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.