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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+214/-326).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -326 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -326.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the NFL.

Brandon Aiyuk has totaled many more air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (54.0 per game).

Brandon Aiyuk's 53.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 43.1.

The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (19.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (25.0% in games he has played).

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers project as the 9th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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