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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brandon Aiyuk Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-220).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Brandon Aiyuk has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 23.4% this year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
  • Brandon Aiyuk has accumulated far more air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 54.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 42.9.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 64.8% to 68.5%.
  • Brandon Aiyuk ranks in the 94th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.54 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.87 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the 7th-least touchdowns through the air in the NFL to WRs: 0.77 per game this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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