Brandin Cooks Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-175).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Cowboys offensive gameplan to tilt 3.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point reduction in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, Brandin Cooks has been incorporated much less in his offense's pass game.
Brandin Cooks's pass-catching performance diminished this year, averaging a measly 2.6 adjusted catches vs 4.3 last year.
Brandin Cooks's 57.5% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a remarkable reduction in his receiving proficiency over last year's 63.1% figure.

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