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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-177).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +143 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys offensive scheme to skew 3.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • The Chargers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point decrease in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, Brandin Cooks has been featured much less in his team's passing attack.
  • Brandin Cooks's 2.3 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a a substantial diminishment in his receiving talent over last season's 4.3 figure.
  • Brandin Cooks's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 63.1% to 47.8%.

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