Brandin Cooks Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: most in the NFL.
With an excellent 4.0 adjusted catches per game (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Brandin Cooks ranks among the best pass-catching WRs in football.

Favors Under

Brandin Cooks's 15.8% Target Rate this year marks a a material decrease in his passing offense volume over last year's 20.9% figure.
Brandin Cooks's 55.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a an impressive reduction in his receiving talent over last season's 63.1% figure.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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