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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-196/+152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -196.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Cowboys this year (a colossal 60.8 per game on average).
  • The Dallas O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.5%) to wideouts this year (69.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brandin Cooks's 35.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 53.6.
  • Brandin Cooks's 3.1 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 4.3 rate.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Miami's group of safeties has been terrific this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.

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