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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
  • Brandin Cooks's 67.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects an impressive progression in his receiving talent over last season's 63.1% figure.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.3%) to wide receivers this year (72.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brandin Cooks has been a less important option in his team's passing game this year (13.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (20.9%).
  • Brandin Cooks's receiving skills have worsened this season, totaling a mere 3.2 adjusted catches compared to 4.3 last season.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Buffalo's CB corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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