Brandin Cooks Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-136/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 7.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 62.1% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
As far as a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.89 seconds per play, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 10th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: most in the league.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Brandin Cooks's 13.7% Target Share this year reflects a remarkable decline in his pass attack workload over last year's 20.9% figure.
Brandin Cooks's 3.3 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates an impressive decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 4.3 mark.
This year, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a paltry 63.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 10th-smallest rate in football.

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