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Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).Right now, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cowboys.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.Brandin Cooks's 67.4% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a substantial progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 63.1% mark.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.Opposing squads have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per play.Brandin Cooks's 34.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 53.6.Brandin Cooks's play as a receiver has tailed off this season, notching a measly 3.2 adjusted receptions vs 4.3 last season.As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's group of CBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.
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