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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offense to tilt 6.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football (63.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cowboys.
  • The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to run the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a huge favorite by 13.5 points.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point diminishment in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, Brandin Cooks has been utilized much less in his team's pass game.
  • Brandin Cooks's receiving talent has worsened this season, accumulating just 3.2 adjusted catches compared to 4.3 last season.

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