Brandin Cooks Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 5:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+143/-194).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Texans are a giant 14.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to earn 6.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has yielded the 5th-highest Completion% in football (69.7%) versus wideouts this year (69.7%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 59.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 7th-least plays in football this year, totaling just 54.2 plays per game.
The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Houston Texans O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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