Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: most in the NFL.
In regards to air yards, Brandin Cooks ranks in the lofty 83rd percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating a whopping 73.0 per game.

Favors Under

Brandin Cooks's 15.8% Target Rate this year marks a a material decrease in his passing offense volume over last year's 20.9% figure.
Brandin Cooks's 55.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a an impressive reduction in his receiving talent over last season's 63.1% figure.
Brandin Cooks's receiving efficiency has diminished this year, accumulating a measly 4.58 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.84 rate last year.
The 49ers pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wideouts this year, allowing 7.02 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in football.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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