Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:51 PM EST

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-140/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Cowboys as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
Brandin Cooks's 67.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects an impressive progression in his receiving talent over last season's 63.1% figure.
Brandin Cooks's receiving effectiveness has been refined this season, compiling 9.35 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 7.84 rate last season.

Favors Under

Brandin Cooks has been a less important option in his team's passing game this year (13.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (20.9%).
After totaling 80.0 air yards per game last year, Brandin Cooks has fallen off this year, now sitting at 62.0 per game.
This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a puny 3.3 YAC.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Buffalo's CB corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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