Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Right now, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cowboys.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
Brandin Cooks's 67.4% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a substantial progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 63.1% mark.

Favors Under

This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
Opposing squads have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per play.
After accruing 80.0 air yards per game last season, Brandin Cooks has fallen off this season, currently pacing 61.0 per game.
Brandin Cooks's 34.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 53.6.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's group of CBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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