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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Right now, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cowboys.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • Brandin Cooks's 67.4% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a substantial progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 63.1% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
  • Opposing squads have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per play.
  • After accruing 80.0 air yards per game last season, Brandin Cooks has fallen off this season, currently pacing 61.0 per game.
  • Brandin Cooks's 34.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 53.6.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's group of CBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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