Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 9:31 PM EST

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offense to tilt 6.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
At the present time, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football (63.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cowboys.
The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to run the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a huge favorite by 13.5 points.
After accruing 80.0 air yards per game last year, Brandin Cooks has seen a big decline this year, now sitting at 59.0 per game.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point diminishment in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, Brandin Cooks has been utilized much less in his team's pass game.
Brandin Cooks's 41.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year represents a meaningful regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 53.0 figure.

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