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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offensive gameplan to lean 6.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
  • Brandin Cooks's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten better this season, notching 4.54 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 3.43 rate last season.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.59 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 11.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.9 per game) this year.
  • After averaging 80.0 air yards per game last year, Brandin Cooks has posted significant losses this year, now boasting 62.0 per game.
  • Brandin Cooks's 35.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 53.6.

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