Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offensive gameplan to lean 6.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
Brandin Cooks's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten better this season, notching 4.54 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 3.43 rate last season.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.59 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in football.

Favors Under

With a 11.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.9 per game) this year.
After averaging 80.0 air yards per game last year, Brandin Cooks has posted significant losses this year, now boasting 62.0 per game.
Brandin Cooks's 35.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 53.6.