Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 3, 2022 6:31 PM EST

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-129/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Texans are a heavy 14-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 69.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
Brandin Cooks has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (72.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).
Brandin Cooks's 56.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 71.8.
Brandin Cooks has totaled many fewer receiving yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).
Brandin Cooks's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 62.3%.

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