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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-129/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Texans are a heavy 14-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 69.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
  • Brandin Cooks has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (72.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).
  • Brandin Cooks's 56.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 71.8.
  • Brandin Cooks has totaled many fewer receiving yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).
  • Brandin Cooks's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 62.3%.

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