Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to notch 9.2 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
Brandin Cooks has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing game this season (23.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (28.2%).
Brandin Cooks has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (65.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).
Brandin Cooks has put up substantially fewer receiving yards per game (48.0) this year than he did last year (64.0).

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