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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (+116/-153).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 62.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ -153.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Texans are a huge 7-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 65.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brandin Cooks has posted far fewer air yards this season (71.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).
  • Brandin Cooks's 59.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 71.8.
  • Brandin Cooks has totaled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).
  • Brandin Cooks's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 68.2% to 59.1%.
  • Brandin Cooks's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 5.92 yards-per-target compared to a 7.86 figure last year.

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