Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (+116/-153).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 62.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ -153.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Texans are a huge 7-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 65.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Brandin Cooks has posted far fewer air yards this season (71.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).
Brandin Cooks's 59.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 71.8.
Brandin Cooks has totaled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).
Brandin Cooks's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 68.2% to 59.1%.
Brandin Cooks's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 5.92 yards-per-target compared to a 7.86 figure last year.

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