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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Brandin Cooks has run a route on 93.7% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.

The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Brandin Cooks's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 49.1%.

Brandin Cooks's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, compiling a measly 5.75 yards-per-target vs a 7.86 rate last year.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 137.0) to WRs since the start of last season.

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