Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Texans are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.58 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to accumulate 10.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Brandin Cooks's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 56.4%.
Brandin Cooks's pass-game efficiency has declined this season, compiling a mere 5.86 yards-per-target vs a 7.86 rate last season.
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 140.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.

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