Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 6:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 77.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 77.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Texans are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to total 8.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have run the 10th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-least in the NFL.
Brandin Cooks has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (77.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).
Brandin Cooks's 53.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 71.8.

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