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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 77.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 77.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Texans are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to total 8.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have run the 10th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-least in the NFL.
  • Brandin Cooks has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (77.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).
  • Brandin Cooks's 53.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 71.8.

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