Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Texans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to total 8.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 8th-worst paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.55 seconds per snap.
Brandin Cooks has notched far fewer air yards this season (75.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).
Brandin Cooks's 54.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 71.8.
The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
Brandin Cooks has notched a lot fewer receiving yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).

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