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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Texans are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to total 8.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 8th-worst paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.55 seconds per snap.
  • Brandin Cooks has notched far fewer air yards this season (75.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).
  • Brandin Cooks's 54.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 71.8.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Brandin Cooks has notched a lot fewer receiving yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).

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