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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+266/-444).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -303 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -444.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans are a heavy 14-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • Brandin Cooks has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which ranks him in the 84th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
  • Brandin Cooks has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this year (72.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).
  • Brandin Cooks's 56.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 71.8.
  • Brandin Cooks's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 62.3%.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the league (56.1%) to wide receivers this year (56.1%).

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