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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-261).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • Brandin Cooks has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.5% this year, which ranks him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (73.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (73.5%).
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the 2nd-most passing touchdowns in the league to wideouts: 1.50 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
  • Brandin Cooks has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (65.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).
  • Brandin Cooks's 54.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 71.8.
  • Brandin Cooks's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 61.7%.

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