Brandin Cooks Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving TD

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-261).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Brandin Cooks has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.5% this year, which ranks him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (73.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (73.5%).
The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the 2nd-most passing touchdowns in the league to wideouts: 1.50 per game this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
Brandin Cooks has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (65.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).
Brandin Cooks's 54.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 71.8.
Brandin Cooks's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 61.7%.

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