Brandin Cooks Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving TD

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM EST

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-250).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Brandin Cooks has posted a monstrous 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among WRs.
Brandin Cooks's 65.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 89th percentile for WRs.
Brandin Cooks ranks in the 78th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.32 per game.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to be a much smaller part of his team's passing attack near the end zone this week (26.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (42.9% in games he has played).
The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Brandin Cooks's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 49.1%.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up the 6th-least passing TDs in the league to wideouts: 0.80 per game since the start of last season.

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