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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-250).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Brandin Cooks has posted a monstrous 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among WRs.
  • Brandin Cooks's 65.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 89th percentile for WRs.
  • Brandin Cooks ranks in the 78th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 0.32 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to be a much smaller part of his team's passing attack near the end zone this week (26.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (42.9% in games he has played).
  • The Houston Texans O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Brandin Cooks's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 49.1%.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up the 6th-least passing TDs in the league to wideouts: 0.80 per game since the start of last season.

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