Brandin Cooks Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving TD

Chicago Bears vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 4:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-250).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Texans are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
Brandin Cooks has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 24.0% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
Brandin Cooks has notched a whopping 95.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among WRs.
Brandin Cooks's 71.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 97th percentile for wideouts.
Brandin Cooks grades out in the 81st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 10th-least total plays among all teams this week with 59.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 59.7 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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