Brandin Cooks Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving TD

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-260).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Texans are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.58 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (26.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (21.3% in games he has played).
Brandin Cooks has accumulated a colossal 96.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among WRs.
Brandin Cooks's 72.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 97th percentile for WRs.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Brandin Cooks's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 56.4%.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (62.4%).
The Denver Broncos linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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