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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+219/-338).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -328 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -338.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Brandin Cooks has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 19.2% this year, which ranks him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the 7th-most TDs through the air in football to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 8th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • Brandin Cooks has accrued far fewer air yards this year (71.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).
  • Brandin Cooks's 54.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 71.8.

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