Brandin Cooks Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving TD

Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+219/-338).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -328 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -338.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Brandin Cooks has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 19.2% this year, which ranks him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.
The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the 7th-most TDs through the air in football to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 8th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.9 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Brandin Cooks has accrued far fewer air yards this year (71.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).
Brandin Cooks's 54.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 71.8.

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