Boston Scott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Boston Scott

NFL · Player Props

Boston Scott

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Boston Scott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects Boston Scott to be a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this week (13.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (25.2% in games he has played).
The Washington Commanders defensive ends rank as the 5th-best group of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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