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Boston Scott

Boston Scott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Boston Scott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+310/-455).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +310.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends project as the worst DE corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Boston Scott has been a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this season (8.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (24.8%).
  • Boston Scott has run for quite a few less yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (35.0).
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-least yards in the league (just 107 per game) against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have used motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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