Boston Scott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 22

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Boston Scott

NFL · Player Props

Boston Scott

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 22, 2022

Updated Feb 12, 2023 10:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Boston Scott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+310/-455).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +310.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends project as the worst DE corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

Boston Scott has been a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this season (8.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (24.8%).
Boston Scott has run for quite a few less yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (35.0).
Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-least yards in the league (just 107 per game) against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have used motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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