Boston Scott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 22

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Boston Scott

NFL · Player Props

Boston Scott

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 22, 2022

Updated Feb 12, 2023 10:26 PM EST

Analysis

Boston Scott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends project as the worst DE corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

Boston Scott has been a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this season (8.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (24.8%).
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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