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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 71.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 131.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

The model projects Bijan Robinson to accumulate 16.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

Our trusted projections expect Bijan Robinson to be a more important option in his team's running game in this game (64.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (44.0% in games he has played).

Bijan Robinson has generated 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among RBs (78th percentile).

The Chiefs defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, surrendering 4.61 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Falcons as the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 39.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

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