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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 88.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 90.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 88.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Falcons being a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Falcons to run on 50.3% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The Atlanta Falcons offense has played at the 8th-quickest pace in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.94 seconds per play.

In this week's game, Bijan Robinson is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 88th percentile among RBs with 17.6 carries.

Bijan Robinson has been a much bigger part of his offense's run game this season (63.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (41.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's collection of DTs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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