Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 4th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.6% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Falcons have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.0 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to accrue 13.7 carries in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The Minnesota Vikings defense boasts the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 3.76 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Vikings defensive tackles project as the 4th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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