Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Falcons as the 6th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
The projections expect Bijan Robinson to accrue 13.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
Out of all RBs, Bijan Robinson grades out in the 81st percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 46.2% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 86.0 per game) vs. the Buccaneers defense this year.

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