Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons as the 5th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Falcons to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The projections expect Bijan Robinson to accumulate 14.6 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
Out of all RBs, Bijan Robinson ranks in the 81st percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 44.2% of the workload in his team's run game.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Falcons have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.8 plays per game.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has produced the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding just 4.26 yards-per-carry.

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