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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants

Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Atlanta Falcons offense has played at the 8th-quickest pace in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.94 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With a remarkable 64.4% Route% (100th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson ranks among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in football.

In this week's game, Bijan Robinson is expected by the projections to rank in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 4.4 targets.

With a stellar 3.9 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson has been as one of the leading pass-game RBs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Falcons being a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The projections expect the Falcons as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.1 per game) this year.

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