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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-166/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -166.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 58.8 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • Bijan Robinson has run a route on 64.5% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • In this contest, Bijan Robinson is predicted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.9 targets.
  • Bijan Robinson profiles as one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a fantastic 4.1 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Falcons being a 6-point favorite in this game.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to call the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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